08 Sep Conservatism Bias
Curious Investor Behaviour – Number 6
Conservatism Bias
People tend to cling tenaciously to an opinion. Even when circumstances have changed, most people find it difficult to adjust their view.
A study by Dresdner Kleinwort Wasserstein in 2002 reveals that analysts’ forecasts typically trail reality- in fact most ‘forecasts’ are very good at telling you what has just happened.
Perhaps we should pay heed to Darwin’s maxim: adaptability, not strength, is the key characteristic of survival.
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